In 2008, California voters approved a high-speed rail project with a price tag of roughly $45 billion. Ambitious? Sure. But voters said yes, imagining sleek bullet trains zipping between LA and San Francisco sometime in the foreseeable future.
Fast forward seventeen years. The new estimated cost? $126 billion. That's not a typo. That's nearly triple what voters were told when they signed on the dotted line. And the first operational segment — not the full LA-to-SF line, mind you, but a stretch running from Kern County to Merced — won't open until 2033 at the earliest.
Let that sink in. A quarter-century after voters approved it, California might have a high-speed train running between two Central Valley cities most Bay Area residents couldn't find on a map.
Governor Newsom has noted that voters originally approved $33 billion in bonds for the project. Where does the other $93 billion come from? Great question. Nobody has a satisfying answer, which is kind of the whole problem.
As one Bay Area resident put it perfectly: "You are allowed to do both of these things simultaneously — support high-speed rail and demand accountability for leaders who mismanage high-speed projects rather than give them a free pass on spending an extra $90 billion of taxpayer money. In fact, the first in practice demands the second."
That's exactly right. This isn't about being anti-rail or anti-infrastructure. Plenty of Californians genuinely want better transit options. But wanting something doesn't mean you write a blank check and look the other way while costs triple and timelines slip by decades. Another local was more blunt: "In 20 years it will be a trillion-dollar train and probably still unfinished. But these billions of tax dollars are going to make some people very rich."
It's fair to note the project hasn't been entirely fruitless — Caltrain electrification, partially funded through high-speed rail dollars, has already cut SF-to-San Jose express times to 60 minutes. That's a real win. But it also highlights the absurdity: the side project is operational while the main event remains a PowerPoint presentation with a nine-figure lobbying budget.
Californians deserve world-class infrastructure. They also deserve to know why every public megaproject in this state turns into a cost singularity with zero accountability. You can build the train. Just stop pretending the budget is someone else's problem.
